Madsen Pirie Madsen Pirie

Karl Popper, philosopher of liberty

On July 29th, 1902, was born one of the most remarkable and influential philosophers of the 20th Century, Karl Raimund Popper. As a teenager in Vienna, Popper was attracted by Marxism, and at one stage thought of himself as a Communist. What disillusioned him was the realization that none of the precepts of Marxism could be tested.

He formed the view that there was a difference between the ideas of Marx, Freud and Adler, and those of Einstein. Einstein’s theory of relativity could be tested by observation, and indeed was tested by Eddington’s experiments in 1919. By contrast, those of Marx, Freud and Adler could accommodate everything that happened; there was nothing that could happen in the observed world that could refute them.

This led Popper to the ideas he published in his 1934 “Logik der Forschung,” published in English in 1959 as “The Logic of Scientific Discovery.” Here Popper advanced his central notion of falsification. He said that although a theory could not be proved true, because an experiment might one day come along to refute it, it could be proved false if an experiment contradicted its predictions. Einstein’s theory could have been refuted, but wasn’t, whereas those of Marx, Freud and Adler could not be subjected to experiments that might refute them. They represented a determination to interpret the world in certain ways, rather than being capable of adding to our knowledge of it.

Popper solved Hume’s problem of induction. We expect the sun to rise each day because it has done so every day so far, although there are no causal links to explain why the past indicates the future, and why induction is valid. Popper replaced induction by conjecture and refutation. We form a theory that the sun will rise tomorrow, and test it each day. If one day it didn’t, then our conjecture would be refuted. Our scientific knowledge is thus not what we know to be true, but the collection of theories that we have been unable to refute. Theories that cannot be tested like this are not necessarily nonsense, but they are not scientific.

Popper’s other great influential work was his 1945 “The Open Society and its Enemies,” in which Vol 1 was “The Spell of Plato,” and Vol 2 was “Hegel and Marx.” Popper called it his “war book,” but it remains one of the most powerful demolitions of totalitarian ideology ever written. Far from being interested in “justice” and “virtue,” Plato was in fact justifying rule by the superior élite, and is profoundly anti-democratic and pro censorship and thought control. As Popper says, Plato’s idea of virtue is “the ruler rules, the worker works, and the slave slaves.” And Hegel and Marx enlist fanciful notions of where historical destiny is taking us to justify oppression and control. Popper opts instead for “piecemeal social engineering,” by which we gradually improve our circumstances by building on what has worked and making it better by removing some of its shortcomings. Democracy is not about choosing those best fitted to rule; it is about removing those who are bad or incompetent.

I was never happy with Popper’s idea that things could be “proved” false, thinking it subject to the same flaws as “proving” them to be true. We can decide to discard theories that are less good than their rivals at enabling us to predict what we shall observe, but that is a conventional decision to reject them, not a “proof” that they are at odds with some objective reality. My 1978 “Trial & Error and the Idea of Progress” was about that.

I knew Popper, and once spent a pleasant day and a half pacing the streets and the beach at St Andrews in his company. He was, I think, the most intelligent person I have met, in a linear, logical, Newtonian way. Hayek was perhaps wiser, bringing a greater breadth of knowledge to his more considered answers. But the two were friends and saw eye to eye on almost everything.

Read More
Tim Worstall Tim Worstall

What is this inequality that The Guardian speaks of?

It’s a certainty of our times that inequality is high in the UK. Too high and something really must be done about it. So says The Guardian in their listing of the things that Boris Johnson really must get on with. There is a problem with this idea. Which is that UK inequality is lower today than it was at any point in Gordon Brown’s premiership. Which is a problem for this insistence:

If the Conservative party wants to win over large sections of the poor then it will have to tackle the damagingly high levels of inequality in the UK

What damagingly high levels of inequality?

Income inequality was unchanged in financial year ending (FYE) 2019 at 32.5% (Figure 1), based on the Gini coefficient for disposable income.

This puts us rather squarely in the middle of the rich country distributions. A little above Denmark and Sweden, about the same as France, lower than the US and Italy, on a par again with Germany. What damagingly high levels of inequality?

Perhaps other measures would be preferred, Palma, P90/P10, but all of these are showing, again, that inequality is low given the experience of these past 40 years or so.

If Mr Johnson is serious he will have to deal with the UK’s damagingly high levels of inequality.

It’s entirely true that we don’t place the same value upon equality as those who write The Guardian. But that’s not the issue here at all. The stated excessive amount of inequality just doesn’t exist. So what is it that they’re talking about?

Sadly, we seem to have here one of those things that everyone knows. As with witches floating, or their existence even, in former times everyone just knows that inequality is terribly damaging and that also we’ve got much too much of it. We disagree with the evaluation of the damage but again, that’s not the point. The excessive levels simply don’t exist.

Read More
Madsen Pirie Madsen Pirie

The story of tobacco

Sir Walter Raleigh brought the first tobacco back to England from Virginia on July 27th, 1586. It was not its first appearance in Europe, because Hernández de Boncalo had brought back tobacco seeds for Spain’s Philip II in 1559, but it was the first in England. It had long been used in the Americas, with evidence that it was grown in Mexico as early as 1400 - 1000 BC. Native Americans grew it and traded it, and famously smoking it ceremonially in a “pipe of peace.”

People enjoyed it because of the nicotine high it gives, and it soon became popular for smoking, chewing or snuffing, and became a major industry. Glasgow merchants who traded in New World tobacco became fabulously rich, and were known as Lords (Lairds) of the plainstaines as they strutted through the streets, resplendent in scarlet cloaks with gold-handled canes.

It was alleged to have health benefits. The astronomer, Thomas Harriot, enjoyed it on a 1585 expedition, saying that it "openeth all the pores and passages of the body" so that the natives’ "bodies are notably preserved in health, and know not many grievous diseases, wherewithal we in England are often times afflicted." King James I and VI was less impressed, describing it in his 1604 “Counterblaste to Tobacco,” as “a pernicious weed.”

Nicotine not only gives its user a buzz, it also acts as a sedative and an aid to learning, mimicking to some extent the action of acetylcholine. War-wounded soldiers on stretchers would often have a lighted cigarette put between their lips to calm them, and many university students found it helped with late-night cramming.

The damagingly adverse effects of tobacco smoke on health were only revealed in a famous 1962 report by the Royal College of Physicians. It has subsequently been shown to be a leading cause of lung cancer, heart disease and other conditions. Health authorities began to take increasingly strident action against it, identifying it as the single most preventable cause of disease.

Despite health warnings on packaging, bans on smoking in pubs and restaurants, and then on smoking indoors in public places, many smokers find it hard to give up because nicotine is undoubtedly addictive. Libertarians have generally backed health warnings, but opposed measures that deny smokers the choice of whether to continue smoking despite them.

The big breakthrough that came recently was the development of ways that separated the nicotine itself from the smoke that causes the vast bulk of the health consequences. Vaping and heated tobacco products enable the user to enjoy the one without the other. Studies claim to show that vaping, for example, is 95% safer than smoking. Vaping has been identified as easily the most effective route to giving up smoking for those who wish to do so. Despite this, some misguided health campaigners oppose it. San Francisco’s ban on vaping will undoubtedly lead to fewer people successfully giving up smoking, and therefore to more smoking-related deaths and crippling health conditions.

The new ways of enjoying nicotine without inhaling the damaging tobacco smoke might well lead to the near disappearance of smoking with a short time frame. Less than four centuries since Sir Walter first brought it to England, people may still be enjoying tobacco products, but it’s quite likely that they won’t be smoking them; except for cigars, of course, where people will still enjoy the aroma and the flavour, without inhaling the smoke.

Read More
Tim Worstall Tim Worstall

Dear Mr Monbiot, there's a point to this patrimonial wealth accumulation

George Monbiot tells us that we really do have to go out and tax all those rich people out there just because they’re passing it on to their children. This isn’t actually true, as any observation of the varied rich lists shows. The vast majority of members of such gawpfests are entrepreneurs who have made that money in generation 1. But, the insistence all the same:

There are endless arguments about the Laffer curve, which purports to show where this level lies. But these discussions overlook something crucial: raising revenue is only one of the purposes of tax. Another is breaking the spiral of patrimonial wealth accumulation.

Breaking this spiral is a democratic necessity: otherwise the oligarchs, as we have seen, come to dominate national and international life. The spiral does not stop by itself: only government action can do it. This is one of the reasons why, during the 1940s, the top rate of income tax in the US rose to 94%, and in the UK to 98%. A fair society requires periodic corrections on this scale. But these days the steepest taxes would be better aimed at accumulated unearned wealth.

Of course, the offshore world the billionaires have created makes such bold policies extremely difficult: this, after all, is one of its purposes. But at least we know what the aim should be, and can begin to see the scale of the challenge. To fight something, first we need to understand it.

So let us try to understand. We’ve had societies without such patrimonial accumulation. Both the Ottoman and Mughal Empires had no real inheritance of property. Each, in different ways, had great wealth laid upon those who served the Sultan/Emperor. All of which reverted upon the death of that particular Pasha/Zamindar. The result was not a lot of long term investment. Why bother when the returns to delayed consumption would revert to the State?

To be trivial about it, planting oaks today might produce harvestable timber in a century’s time. Your or my incentive to do this is greater if it’s the great grandson who can finance his wedding as a result, or whoever has been elected to John Prescott’s old job? Which system is going to lead to greater investment in that long term?

We do have an empirical answer, one gained from observation, which is that allowing the family to benefit - the family being the human institution with the longest time horizon - benefits the society as a whole.

As to how to prevent the hijacking of the country by those plutocrats we should do what we have been doing, having that continued technological advance. For what destroys those old patterns of wealth is the new patterns brought about by free markets and free trade.

To use a very Monbiot example, land. Some thousands of acres of Derbyshire once financed the building of Chatsworth. Today the same land won’t even maintain it, let alone staff it. We radically changed the value of British farmland by having that free trade. We substituted that rolling greensward with the prairies of North America, the steppes of Asia. Got our grain from the US, Canada, the Ukraine, and that’s what broke the old grand aristocratic landed fortunes.

We’re entirely fine, delighted even, with a turnover of wealth. But the confiscation of it leads to fewer attempts to create it to the disbenefit of all. Making it technological change which eats away at it benefits all. So, let’s use the method that does aid all. Free markets and free trade mean that the capitalist - or even patrimonial - wealth accumulation happens, benefits and erodes in a manner that swingeing taxation doesn’t allow. That should therefore be our system.

Read More
Helen Paton Helen Paton

Rent controls in London would be a disaster

Rent control has once again come to light as the Mayor of London proposes to cap the money going into the landlord's pockets. London needs houses with its increasing population and demand for space as private renting has once again become a much more mainstream sector in the UK.  1 in 5 of all households live in private rental accommodation with over 1 million landlords. 

Berlin, among other European cities, has decided to freeze rents, and I cannot help but be reminded of the Soviet East. 'Affordable rents' is repeated in Labour conference speeches every year, in an attempt to persuade people that the sovietisation of property will increase access and affordability for the many. At a glance, this sounds like the cure to all our problems. But let's have a look at who benefits and who loses out. 

Rent control is one of those policies that has more lives than Doctor Who: three regenerations in, and some people still think it's a good idea. This regulation wants rents below market levels to preserve existing tenure. In the long run, this causes a reduction in supply; there will be pressure to avoid or evade the regulation as we will simply not have enough homes. 

A perfect example of this is New York City, a place where tenants can rent a property for generations at low prices such as $500 a month. Their policy dates back to 1943. Families can pass these homes to another member and preserve the rent-control status, transforming houses in an inheritance privilege. It's strictly linked with social mobility and an intergenerational issue as not everyone has their parents to pay their way into the London housing market.

I'm horrified to think that we could end up in Stockholm's shoes with a 50-year wait for rent-controlled flats. And why would your landlord renovate your home? Or paint the walls of your flat if you'll stay there for years? What is their gain? This model has been tried, and there is a consensus by 94% economists from left, right and centre, that a ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing.

Constructors and developments are going to think twice about building and will move to commercial skyscrapers or luxurious homes. Instead of encouraging landlords to up their game, we are prioritising gentrification and forgetting about the core issue at stake. Only competition can solve the case of ill-maintained properties.

With 2.4m private renters in London spending 42% of household income on rent, I would not like to be on that waiting list. It would be hard enough for a local to get hold of a property but think about all our immigrants and thousands of young hopefuls. Are we going to bang the door in their face? Instead of broadening the spectrum of opportunities to the disadvantaged, rent control creates a social clique of privileged lists and a black market, where waiting lists take years and years. 

How can we solve this mess?  As Sir Mark Boleat, former Chairman of the Housing and Finance institute argued, we have a broken planning system, and it will be impossible to build more houses unless we address the green belt. 

This week the Institute of Economic Affairs with Jacob Rees-Mogg MP published a detailed report on how we need to demystify the 'green belt'. This is not a radical call to deregulate and get rid of the green belt. The green belt is supported by 64% of the public, and it's a vital part of our city, but this is about acknowledging the land that it encompasses. 

The London green belt is enormous, and they are vast areas of broken land near train stations that are already developed. If we built on just 3.9% of these forgotten spaces, we could build a million houses. It's not all parks and pure hectares of perfect land, it's about zoning the regions that are already in use and building homes to supply the increasing demand. We could learn from cities like Amsterdam, where self-building is allowed by extending development and planning rights to residents, giving them the power to take control of their local housing development. 

Left-leaning economist, Assar Lindbeck asserted, "In many cases rent control appears to be the most efficient technique presently known to destroy a city—except for bombing." At least bombing would enable more supply.

Rent control is a romantic first date that ends in sorrow...


Helen Paton is a research intern at the Adam Smith Institute.

Read More
Madsen Pirie Madsen Pirie

Labour’s landslide postwar victory

One of the worst disasters in Britain’s peacetime history happened on July 26th, 1945, when a Labour government headed by Clement Atlee swept into office with a landslide majority of 145, sweeping wartime leader Winston Churchill from office. The UK had been on the winning side of the war, but was soon on the losing side of the peace.

It was reckoned that Labour’s promise of nationalization, a National Health Service and a welfare state appealed to voters, especially those who had fought for Britain’s future against Nazism, and who wanted a new and better world. Alas. They were in for a cruel disappointment. The monies that could have rebuilt Britain’s war-shattered industry and economy went on transfer payments instead of investment.

A system of compulsory insurance for healthcare, with government meeting the premiums for those unable to do so, would have given universal coverage, and created a huge fund that insurance companies would have invested in the economy. Instead a zero-sum game was created, with a giant bureaucracy that was simply too big to manage. The founders actually thought that health expenditure would diminish as people were cured of ailments, but instead created a potentially infinite demand.

The nationalization of Britain’s industries turned them into loss-making, subsidy-dependent monsters that served the interests of the unions, political paymasters and bureaucrats instead of the public who were their consumers. They became a laughing stock and a joke, turning Britain into “the sick man of Europe” with the worst strike record and the lowest growth rate in Europe. That was until we privatized them under Margaret Thatcher.

The blunt fact discovered the hard way then was that socialism doesn’t work. Markets allocate resources, weed out the inefficient, and bring success to those who satisfy consumer demand at prices they are prepared to pay. Socialist planners do not. They leave industry serving political, rather than economic, ends, and under Atlee took huge strides into running it into the ground. It took decades for the UK to recover from the damage that socialism inflicted upon it in that disastrous government of 1945-1951. When the voters heaved it on the scrapheap to return Churchill to power, it was already too late.

The point is that socialism was, and is, a construct of the mind, a vision of a mythical world that might be, one that bears little relation to the real world. It was a disaster then, and would be a disaster now. No-one who experienced that immediately postwar world would want to return to it. Yet the policies that socialists propose today would undoubtedly reproduce its squalor and poverty, just as they have done in Venezuela. One is left wondering how many times we have to repeat that disaster before its lesson is finally beaten into their thick skulls. It doesn’t work.

Read More
Tim Worstall Tim Worstall

Keynes on economic nationalism - the facts have changed

Marginal Revolution points us to Keynes discussing economic nationalism and the idea that actually, you know, it might not be that bad an idea:

But I am not persuaded that the economic advantages of the international division of labor to-day are at all comparable with what they were. I must not be understood to carry my argument beyond a certain point. A considerable degree of international specialization is necessary in a rational world in all cases where it is dictated by wide differences of climate, natural resources, native aptitudes, level of culture and density of population. But over an increasingly wide range of industrial products, and perhaps of agricultural products also, I have become doubtful whether the economic loss of national self-sufficiency is great enough to outweigh the other advantages of gradually bringing the product and the consumer within the ambit of the same national, economic, and financial organization. Experience accumulates to prove that most modem processes of mass production can be performed in most countries and climates with almost equal efficiency. Moreover, with greater wealth, both primary and manufactured products play a smaller relative part in the national economy compared with houses, personal services, and local amenities, which are not equally available for international exchange; with the result that a moderate increase in the real cost of primary and manufactured products consequent on greater national self-sufficiency may cease to be of serious consequence when weighed in the balance against advantages of a different kind. National self-sufficiency, in short, though it costs something, may be becoming a luxury which we can afford, if we happen to want it.

The problem with this being that the facts have changed. We are now at a level of technology where the globe itself is the efficient market size. One of us here was, for a time, the global monopolist in a very minor market indeed. That monopoly being the result of the market being so small that it wouldn’t support two people attempting to operate in it.

But it is possible to be more serious about this. The problems various countries are having with Huawei are well known. Who really wants a foreign government - allegedly - with access to the domestic telecoms system? And yet The Pentagon itself points out the problem here. Even the US market isn’t of sufficient size to be an efficient market. The costs of developing 5G are such that if standards there diverge from the rest of the world - likely, given spectrum issues - then the US is always going to be some years behind in that technology.

No single country supports an entire computer ecosystem. There are many more such examples. The efficient production size is now supranational meaning that the costs of economic nationalism are far greater than they were near 80 years ago. And, as Keynes the economist would be the first to point out, we should do less of things that are more expensive.

Read More
Tim Ambler Tim Ambler

Sorry we cannot pay carers properly; we have to train trolley pushers instead

Matt Hancock celebrated what should, according to The Guardian, have been his last day in office with two press releases. The first “Carers Action Plan 2018 – 2020” looked at the progress made in supporting carers since the plan was put in place a year ago.  The second chucks £20M at helping the NHS train entry-level staff – something it is quite capable of doing for itself.  

Everyone in the country, except in Whitehall, knows that social care is underfunded as a whole and relative to the NHS. Within that carers are under-rewarded with the result that there are too few and acquiring the necessary skills cannot be funded. Carers do not need platitudes, they need money.

One has to wait until p.20 of the review document to reach “Financial support” and all one gets there is:

“2.17 The Department for Work and Pensions will ensure that benefits for carers (including Carer’s Allowance and Universal Credit) meet the needs of carers and support employment for those carers who are able to work.  

2.18 The Department for Work and Pensions will review and improve the information and signposting available to carers who visit Jobcentres to seek support in finding employment.”

There is also a bit about encouraging greater flexibility and generosity by those businesses that employ part-time carers, i.e. volunteers looking after friends or relatives alongside paid employment.  Some people would call that “passing the buck”. 

The government does not even fund holidays for volunteer year-round carers as a charity in Norfolk does.

One of the most heart-rending areas of social care is that provided by young carers, i.e. children who have to prepare themselves for school in the morning and then do the shopping and housework as well as taking care of disabled, or otherwise handicapped, relatives at home.  Imagine the stress involved all year round and the difficulty of creating a normal life thereafter. What progress in supporting them? Sections 3.1 – 3.4 boil down to saying that the DHSC will try to find out who these young carers are. Beyond that, not a penny will be spent.

On the other hand, a glimmer of light may perhaps be glimpsed in the next two paragraphs but again it is not cash for carers just more employment for civil servants:

“3.5 The Department for Education is undertaking a review of Children in Need, which includes young carers, to understand the challenges these pupils face and the support that best improves their educational outcomes, both in and out of school. The findings from the review will inform how best to support Children in Need in order that they achieve their full potential.

3.6 The Learning and Work Institute (LWI) and the Department for Work and Pensions launched customer information materials setting out the rules for students claiming Carer’s Allowance in September 2017. The impact of this activity will be evaluated and consideration given to further activity in due course.”

I will not weary you with more of this one year on review. Suffice to say it is claptrap.  Compare it though with the other press release of the day: “£20 million funding to help 10,000 young people into NHS careers.” The Prince’s Trust will add £7M so we are looking at £2,700 per school leaver to acquire the skills they should have gained at school.  Obviously the NHS, like any other large employer should train the young people they take on. That is a regular part of employment: why should the government suddenly fork out another £20M to do it for them at the same time as denying any further cash to professional social carers or even the kids providing care on top of their school work.

Furthermore, why should entry level NHS catering staff and trolley pushers need further numeracy and literary skills? One does not need A level English to read a menu. And job application skills? By the time they are on this programme, they already in the NHS. And how will the benefits of this expenditure be evaluated? The press statement makes no reference to that but we get a clue from this: the “Health Education England has already worked in partnership with The Prince’s Trust to run 250 pre-employment programmes, helping over 1,000 young people find work in healthcare across the country.” That is a whole government department and the Prince’s Trust delivering programmes each of which has as many as four people on it. Now that’s what I call productivity.

Nick Stace, UK Chief Executive, The Prince’s Trust, has a neat line in irony and concluded: “We believe that when young people succeed, our country succeeds and this is a great example of what that can mean in reality.”

Read More
Madsen Pirie Madsen Pirie

Test tube babies

Louise Joy Brown was born on July 25th, 1978. Her name is not widely known in popular culture, but her claim to fame is that she was first baby born by in-vitro fertilization. This is a procedure that involves monitoring (and sometimes stimulating) a woman's ovulatory process, and removing an egg or eggs to be fertilized externally in a liquid in a laboratory. After fertilization, the fertilized egg undergoes embryo culture for 2-6 days before being implanted in the uterus of the same, or another, woman to set a pregnancy under way. The glass vessel used in the fertilization gives us the "vitro" of the procedure's name, as well as the nickname "test tube baby."

The first successful case took place in Oldham, where Robert Edwards, Patrick Steptoe and Jean Purdy developed the procedure. Edwards was awarded the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine in 2010. Steptoe and Purdy would have shared the prize, but unfortunately both had died, and the prize is not awarded posthumously.

Like many scientific breakthroughs, IVF has brought choices and chances to people who had previously been denied them. In the 40 years after that first success, it is estimated that eight million children have been born worldwide using IVF and other assisted reproduction techniques. While the optimal woman's age is 23–39 years at the time of treatment, the technique has enabled older women, including those past the menopause, to bear children successfully. A woman unable to carry her own children can have a surrogate mother carry the fertilized egg of herself and her partner, and bring it to term. IVF has enabled couples in gay or lesbian relationships to become parents and bring up children.

Developments in cryogenics has enabled first embryos and later unfertilized eggs to be frozen for subsequent use. This has been important for those about to undergo medical treatment that might render them infertile. The outcome from using cryopreserved embryos has uniformly been positive with no increase in birth defects or development abnormalities.

Recent advances have enabled couples who carry genes that can cause life-damaging conditions (such as muscular dystrophy) in a child, to select for implantation an embryo that does not carry them. This eliminates the defect not only for the child, but for its offspring. More recently still, has come the opportunity to remove or even repair defective genes before implantation.

Ethical issues have been raised by the process and its subsequent developments, and there were those who voiced alarm and opposition when Louise Brown was born. The Catholic Church opposes all kinds of assisted reproductive technology, but there is no consensus in religion, science or philosophy on when a human embryo should be recognized as a person and have the rights pertaining to that status. For those who believe this happens at the moment of fertilization of the egg, there are ethical issues when multiple eggs are fertilised, begin development, and only some of them are implanted, with the remaining ones discarded.

Some people are concerned that IVF makes it possible to select for the sex of the child, as Monique and Scott Collins did in 1997, when they chose to have a daughter to balance their family. Others are concerned that people will choose "designer babies" for their intelligence, looks, athletic, musical or mathematical skills. The suggestion is that rich parents will choose to bear children that have vastly improved chances of worldly success and achievement. Still others suggest that the more people that can do this, the more people will enter the world capable of improving it for everyone.

In the absence of a single world authority to impose universal rules, some countries will be more ready than others to allow experiments, innovation and advances, allowing would-be parents denied opportunities in one country to seek them in another. Few people who suffer from crippling hay fever or a life-threatening nut allergy would want their children to endure the same if they could prevent this. And the same is more obviously true for more serious life-limiting conditions. On a more general level, many people, if not most, would want a world that gave humans the chance to enjoy better lives. The genie came out of the bottle when Louise Brown came out of the womb, and it is not going back.

Read More
Tim Worstall Tim Worstall

Craig Newmark's quite right, he doesn't need a billion dollars, nor deserve nor is it just he has

Craig Newmark is, for those not entirely au fait with this internet business, the guy behind Craigslist. He’s very rich from having been so and he wonders whether he should be:

Craigslist founder Craig Newmark: 'As a nerd, I don't know why I need a billion dollars'

The answer being that you don’t need a billion dollars Mr. Newmark. No one does. But we’re absolutely delighted that you do and will defend to that last ditch your ability to keep it if you so wish. On purely pragmatic grounds.

As William Nordhaus has pointed out entrepreneurs gain perhaps 3% of the value created by their innovations. Near all the rest flows to consumers. The only way that these people are getting rich is by delivering far greater value - in aggregate - to us out here. We think that us getting richer is a good thing therefore stand by the arrangements which make us so.

And that’s it. There isn’t anything about fairness or justice in this. The reason the last set of entrepreneurs are left with Scrooge McDuck like mountains of cash to surf down is so that the next generation get to work to make our children even richer. No other justification is either necessary nor righteously used.

Economics is, famously, amoral. This being one excellent example of that point. We’ll even put up with an awful lot of rentiers and inheritance to keep that entrepreneurial show on the road for that is the very engine of increased prosperity over the generations.

Read More
Your subscription could not be saved. Please try again.
Your subscription has been successful.

Blogs by email